Sunday, March 22, 2009

Kept: The Tony Allen Story

Kept Players
Jacoby Ellsbury (Round 15)
Colby Rasmus (Round 23)
Ryan Ludwick (Round 14)
Edinson Volquez (Round 24)
Dustin Pedroia (Round 12)

Last Year’s Record: 6-18
Division: Winners
Season Result: Last place in the Winners division. He generally sucked.

Keeper Decision Scale: 2/10

Leave it to Tony to go heavy on the crappy players. Well done. This isn’t to say there is nothing good about the players he kept, so we’ll start with the good and work our way to reality.

The Good:
Colby Rasmus has loads of potential, although he is suffering a bit from prospect fatigue in some eyes. With a perceived deep outfield, finding a spot for him may be difficult, but Rasmus is going to get any edge in a position battle given his upside.

Jacoby Ellsbury is a speedy guy who plays a team that scores many runs, this cannot be a completely bad thing.

Edinson Volquez had excellent strikeout numbers last season and to go along with a very strong first half of the season.

Dustin Pedroia = 2008 MVP.

Ryan Ludwick surprised everyone with his bat last season and looks to carry it over into 2009.

The Bad:
Ryan Ludwick sucks. He had one good, career year and that will be all for him. A bust at round 14.

Jacoby Ellsbury is highly overrated in my mind. His status as the Red Sox centerfielder carries great hype with it, which makes it seem like he is a better player than what he is. A full season without Manny in the lineup will also hurt him in the long run. Retaining his stolen bases is a nice thing, however.

Edinson Volquez pitched 33 innings in 2006 and 34 innings in 2007. He pitched 196 last season. Do the math with where you think I’m going with this.

Colby Rasmus has not played one major league season, nor has he even had one major league at-bat. Expecting high returns this season is questionable. Rasmus may max out his keeper options with Tony before he ever becomes the play some think he may become.

Dustin Pedroia is a nice player who produces a lot of runs. I feel like a better fantasy guy could be taken at round 12 in a more premium position. But I don’t think this is a terrible decision either.

Carlos Marmol should have been kept for a 21st rounder over someone like Ludwick. Marmol is the default closer for Cubs and had an excellent chance of being a low-risk/high-reward guy for Tony.

Overall, it could have been worse, but I think Tony have very little upside with his keeper selections.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

I disagree with your take on Pedroia. He is a steal in the 12th round. If you look at out draft results, Brian Roberts went in round 3 and Robinson Cano went in round 5. Pedroia is way better than either of them, so surely he'd have gone in round 3 or higher. That's at least a 9 round premium for probably the 3rd best fantasy player at a weak position like 2B. Keeping him is a no-brainer.

Anonymous said...

Id be careful using "our draft results" as indicators of where people should or should not go. That draft was ridiculous and I am questioning a lot of our members sanity and IQ after that draft. Im sure Ben will expound on that in the draft review so Ill leave that to him.

While I do agree Pedroia is a steal in round 12, Bens argument was a better player couldve been taken at a more premium position. Not that Pedroia is a bad pick there.